
Opinion
Checking my game predictions: how clean was my crystal ball in 2023?
by Philipp Rüegg
I made 23 bold predictions for gaming in 2022. Most of them were wrong. Here’s my sobering balance sheet.
Something’s wrong with my crystal ball. Do I even deserve the name Philstradamus? A year ago, I made 23 predictions about what exciting events 2022 would have in store for all gaming fans. Unfortunately, the quality of my predictions turned out to be as low as those of horoscopes in free daily newspapers. Time to take stock.
Looks like Microsoft’s Game Pass isn’t a serious competitor for Valve just yet. Steam still only offers games for purchase, not in a subscription model.
Despite the immense success of Game Pass, the Xbox Series S/X hasn’t quite overtaken the Playstation 5. But it looks like this might still happen. After all, Microsoft increased its units sold by two million per year, while the PS5 has stagnated at 10.5 million. Nevertheless, Sony’s console was still sold around two million times more than the Xbox Series S and X in total.
At first, I thought I got this one right. But then I read my caption, which says «main series». In any case, I have to admit I didn’t think of a mobile spin-off when I predicted the next «Assassin’s Creed». That’s exactly what’s currently being developed under the code name «Jade». And it’s indeed set in China.
While I’m still convinced Valve will port «Half-Life Alyx» to Sony’s new VR headset, it hasn’t been announced yet.
My prognosis wasn’t too specific, so what I did predict turned out to be true. For one, there’s «Apterture Desk Job», which is set in the «Portal» universe – also considered part of the «Half-Life» universe. In addition, numerous hints about direct sequels have surfaced, including one about «Half-Life Alyx», which is a VR title.
All new Ubisoft games are available on Steam again, from «Assassin’s Creed Valhalla» to «Roller Champions» and «Watch Dogs Legion». Before that, PC players had to go with the Uplay launcher.
Discord founder Jason Citron hasn’t publicly pursued his NFT interests and the platform hasn’t been sold. This prediction couldn’t have been more wrong.
«Forspoken» has been delayed from 2022 to January 2023, but my prediction of a big Sony game coming out at the same time for PC was correct anyway. Even though it’s not being developed by Sony Studios, it’s considered the next big Sony blockbuster.
It’s being worked on, but there hasn’t been a new trailer nor an announcement that it will be released exclusively for Playstation.
For me, this is probably the biggest disappointment. Instead of continuing the series about electric anti-hero Cole MacGrath, studio Sucker Punch has confirmed they’re working on the sequel to «Ghost of Tsushima».
This prediction may yet come true, but only after the film is released, which is expected to happen on 6 April 2023.
Once again, my crystal ball was ahead of the times. However, after seeing the new «Super Mario Bros. The Movie» trailers, I’d withdraw this prediction.
Some games running on Unreal Engine 5 have already been shown – «Stalker 2» and «Tekken 8», for instance. Both trailers flex their muscles when it comes to graphics. I’ve been lucky enough to play the role-playing-shooter hybrid «The First Descendant» myself and was highly impressed by its graphics. However, «Fortnite» impressed me the most. It also made the upgrade to Unreal Engine 5 in 2022 and I must say, it comes with various new effects and looks fantastic.
No new launch, not even rumours. The Steam Deck is my only consolation.
The latency is being improved, but there’s been no talk of higher resolutions so far.
Harrison Ford shows up in the trailer for the fifth movie, but there’s no talk of a new release by Machine Games.
Amazon has started working on a «God of War» series. Whether Jason Momoa will take the lead role – as I predicted – is yet to be confirmed.
«F-Zero X» did come out for Switch Online, but that’s not quite what I predicted. I’ll have to keep waiting for a sequel to the racing series.
Neither was there any information on the next big Super Mario game, nor if it would come with a gadget such as retro glasses.
Valve’s handheld gaming console has definitely hit a nerve. In addition to lesser-known manufacturers such as Ayaneo or Ayn, Razer and Logitech have also introduced and even released their own handhelds.
CD Project Red has announced five games in «The Witcher» universe, but none of them specifically state that Geralt’s adopted daughter Ciri will play the main role. Yet, it still seems plausible.
Despite massive sexual assault and harassment scandals and a planned takeover by Microsoft, Activision Blizzard CEO Bobby Kotick is still in office.
The HBO series won’t be released until January, but Simon still turns up his nose in disgust every time I mention «The Last of Us» .
I got two more right than last year, but I’d also made seven more predictions. Be that as it may, all I see is a slight trend upwards. I’m off to clean my crystal ball so that I get a clear view of the future for the coming year.
Being the game and gadget geek that I am, working at digitec and Galaxus makes me feel like a kid in a candy shop – but it does take its toll on my wallet. I enjoy tinkering with my PC in Tim Taylor fashion and talking about games on my podcast http://www.onemorelevel.ch. To satisfy my need for speed, I get on my full suspension mountain bike and set out to find some nice trails. My thirst for culture is quenched by deep conversations over a couple of cold ones at the mostly frustrating games of FC Winterthur.